Guardians at Yankees
Last play · Alex Verdugo grounds out to first baseman Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Yankees0%
CLE 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 3 NYY
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Yankees favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Daniel Schneemann scores. (inning 12) — -43% Guardians
12Aaron Judge doubles (30) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Gleyber Torres scores.9–5
12Jhonkensy Noel singles on a ground ball to first baseman DJ LeMahieu. David Fry scores.9–3
12David Fry triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. Tyler Freeman scores.8–3
12José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Lane Thomas scores. Steven Kwan to 2nd.5–3
12Lane Thomas doubles (19) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Daniel Schneemann scores.4–3
4Anthony Volpe doubles (24) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Daniel Schneemann. Jose Trevino scores.3–3
4Brayan Rocchio homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
3Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
