Guardians at Yankees
Last play · Austin Hedges grounds out, third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Ben Rice.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CLE 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 5 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 23.1% · hold 8.3%
Run line
-5.5
Moneyline
reference0 / 0
Yankees favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (48) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +13% Yankees
8Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Anthony Volpe scores.0–6
5Giancarlo Stanton homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Juan Soto scores. Aaron Judge scores.0–5
5Austin Wells out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Ben Rice scores.0–2
4Aaron Judge homers (48) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
