Guardians at Yankees
Last play · David Fry grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Ben Rice.
Win probability
Yankees100%
CLE 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 7 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 27.6% · hold 8.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Yankees favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (36) on a fly ball to center field. Gleyber Torres scores. (inning 1) — +17% Yankees
8Jhonkensy Noel homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–8
7Aaron Judge homers (47) on a fly ball to right field.0–8
4Juan Soto doubles (25) on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Alex Verdugo scores. Oswald Peraza scores. Gleyber Torres scores. Juan Soto out at 3rd on the throw, left fielder Steven Kwan to first baseman David Fry to second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Tyler Freeman to second baseman Andrés Giménez.0–7
3Aaron Judge homers (46) on a fly ball to right center field. Juan Soto scores.0–4
1Juan Soto homers (36) on a fly ball to center field. Gleyber Torres scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
