Cardinals at Yankees
Last play · Jordan Walker lines out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Yankees100%
STL 0%NYY 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 2 – 4 NYY
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Yankees favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Wells homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 3) — +23% Yankees
8Austin Wells homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Gleyber Torres scores.3–6
8Nolan Arenado homers (15) on a line drive to left center field.3–4
3Austin Wells homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field. Juan Soto scores.2–4
3Juan Soto doubles (26) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Victor Scott II. Gleyber Torres scores.2–2
3Paul Goldschmidt singles on a ground ball to center fielder Aaron Judge. Nolan Arenado scores. Brendan Donovan to 2nd.2–1
3Brendan Donovan singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.1–1
2Anthony Volpe out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Giancarlo Stanton scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
