Cardinals at Yankees
Last play · Austin Wells strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Yankees0%
STL 100%NYY 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 4 – 1 NYY
Cardinals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Yankees favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Donovan homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado scores. (inning 3) — -35% Cardinals
8Giancarlo Stanton doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Austin Wells scores. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. Anthony Volpe scores.6–5
8Anthony Volpe singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Matthew Liberatore. Aaron Judge scores. Austin Wells to 3rd. Jazz Chisholm Jr. to 2nd.6–2
6Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.6–1
6Iván Herrera doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Lars Nootbaar scores.5–1
3Brendan Donovan homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Burleson scores. Nolan Arenado scores.4–1
3Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to center fielder Trent Grisham. Masyn Winn scores. Alec Burleson to 2nd.1–1
2Anthony Volpe singles on a line drive to left fielder Lars Nootbaar. Austin Wells scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
