Blue Jays at Phillies
Last play · Whit Merrifield pops out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in foul territory.
Win probability
Phillies0%
TOR 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Phillies favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder George Springer in foul territory. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 3) — +15% Phillies
9Bryson Stott doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Brandon Marsh scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.5–3
8Kevin Kiermaier singles on a soft pop up to shortstop Bryson Stott. Davis Schneider scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 2nd.5–2
7Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Brandon Marsh scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.4–2
6Kevin Kiermaier singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Bo Bichette scores. Davis Schneider to 2nd.4–1
6Davis Schneider singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Danny Jansen scores. Bo Bichette to 2nd.3–1
6Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Justin Turner scores. Danny Jansen to 3rd.2–1
3Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder George Springer in foul territory. Bryson Stott scores.1–1
3Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. George Springer scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








