Giants at Phillies
Last play · Wilmer Flores lines out to center fielder Johan Rojas.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SF 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 3 – 9 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Phillies favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd. Alec Bohm to 2nd. (inning 1) — +9% Phillies
7Whit Merrifield homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–14
6Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Slater. Edmundo Sosa scores. Johan Rojas scores.3–13
6Johan Rojas reaches on a fielder's choice. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd. Johan Rojas to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Matt Chapman.3–11
5Wilmer Flores homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Thairo Estrada scores.3–9
3Thairo Estrada singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Nick Ahmed scores. Austin Slater to 2nd.1–9
2Edmundo Sosa grounds out, pitcher Mitch White to first baseman Wilmer Flores. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott to 2nd.0–9
2Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Slater, deflected by second baseman Thairo Estrada. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.0–8
2Nick Castellanos grounds into a force out, shortstop Nick Ahmed to second baseman Thairo Estrada. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd. Brandon Marsh out at 2nd. Nick Castellanos to 1st.0–7
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








