Mets at Phillies
Last play · Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies0%
NYM 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 0 PHI
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · J.D. Martinez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Francisco Lindor scores. (inning 11) — -43% Mets
11Bryson Stott grounds into a force out, second baseman Jeff McNeil to shortstop Francisco Lindor. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh to 3rd. Johan Rojas out at 2nd. Bryson Stott to 1st.6–5
11Jeff McNeil grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.6–4
11J.D. Martinez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Francisco Lindor scores.5–4
9Bryson Stott singles on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Brandon Marsh scores.4–4
8Starling Marte grounds out, second baseman Kody Clemens to first baseman Bryce Harper.4–3
8Harrison Bader singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh, deflected by pitcher Jeff Hoffman. Tyrone Taylor scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Harrison Bader advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Brandon Marsh.3–3
7Kyle Schwarber doubles (3) on a ground ball to right fielder Starling Marte. Bryson Stott scores.2–3
6Nick Castellanos out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tyrone Taylor. Bryce Harper scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
