Rangers at Phillies
Last play · Corey Seager grounds out, first baseman Bryce Harper to pitcher José Ruiz.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TEX 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 3 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Phillies favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edmundo Sosa homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh scores. (inning 4) — +21% Phillies
8Bryce Harper homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.4–11
7Corey Seager homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.4–10
6Alec Bohm doubles (20) on a fly ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Kyle Schwarber scores. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryce Harper to 3rd.3–10
6J.T. Realmuto singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Robbie Grossman. Nick Castellanos scores. Johan Rojas scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.3–8
5Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Marcus Semien scores. Adolis García to 3rd.3–6
4Edmundo Sosa homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Nick Castellanos scores. Brandon Marsh scores.2–6
3J.T. Realmuto homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
2Johan Rojas flies out to left fielder Evan Carter.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
