Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
STL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 1) — +17% Phillies
7Bryce Harper homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. J.T. Realmuto scores.1–6
3Brandon Marsh singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Siani. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.1–4
3Masyn Winn out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Nolan Gorman scores. Michael Siani to 3rd.1–3
1Nick Castellanos doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Alec Bohm scores.0–3
1Alec Bohm doubles (23) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
