Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Nolan Arenado flies out to right fielder Nick Castellanos.
Win probability
Phillies100%
STL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 3 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+180 / -215
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nolan Arenado homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -16% Cardinals
7Johan Rojas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dylan Carlson. Brandon Marsh scores. Johan Rojas to 2nd.2–4
7Nolan Arenado homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
3Brandon Crawford homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.1–3
2Edmundo Sosa homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Nick Castellanos scores.0–3
2Brandon Marsh grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Alec Bohm scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
