Rangers at Phillies
Last play · Ezequiel Duran pops out to shortstop Edmundo Sosa.
Win probability
Phillies100%
TEX 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Phillies favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cristian Pache triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Edmundo Sosa scores. Whit Merrifield scores. (inning 4) — +22% Phillies
7Nick Castellanos homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–5
7Ezequiel Duran singles on a line drive to second baseman Bryson Stott. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Leody Taveras to 2nd.2–4
4Kyle Schwarber singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Cristian Pache scores.1–4
4Cristian Pache triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Edmundo Sosa scores. Whit Merrifield scores.1–3
3J.T. Realmuto homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
2Adolis García homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
