Cardinals at Phillies
Last play · Nick Castellanos strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies0%
STL 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 4 – 4 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Phillies favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Garrett Stubbs scores. Johan Rojas scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd. (inning 5) — +29% Phillies
10Nolan Gorman singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Masyn Winn scores.5–4
5Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder Alec Burleson. Garrett Stubbs scores. Johan Rojas scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.4–4
3Alec Burleson homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.4–2
2Johan Rojas grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Nick Castellanos scores. Garrett Stubbs to 3rd.2–2
2Garrett Stubbs doubles (1) on a line drive to center fielder Michael Siani. Brandon Marsh scores. Nick Castellanos to 3rd.2–1
1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Nolan Gorman homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Masyn Winn scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
