Mets at Phillies
Last play · Nick Castellanos grounds into a double play, catcher Luis Torrens to first baseman Pete Alonso. Garrett Stubbs out at home. Nick Castellanos out at 1st.
Win probability
Phillies0%
NYM 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 0 – 3 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Phillies favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alec Bohm. Tyrone Taylor scores. Jeff McNeil to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Mets
9Alec Bohm walks. Cristian Pache scores. Garrett Stubbs to 3rd. Bryce Harper to 2nd.6–5
9Brandon Nimmo called out on strikes.6–4
9Pete Alonso hit by pitch. Jeff McNeil scores. Jose Iglesias to 3rd. Luis Torrens to 2nd.5–4
9Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alec Bohm. Tyrone Taylor scores. Jeff McNeil to 2nd.4–4
7David Dahl homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.3–4
6J.D. Martinez singles on a line drive to left fielder Whit Merrifield. Pete Alonso scores. Brandon Nimmo scores.3–3
6Brandon Nimmo doubles (11) on a soft line drive to left fielder Whit Merrifield. Luis Torrens scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd.1–3
4Whit Merrifield singles on a soft line drive to right fielder DJ Stewart. Edmundo Sosa scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














