Brewers at Phillies
Last play · Willy Adames called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 0 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+150 / -180
Phillies favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Garrett Stubbs scores. (inning 5) — +25% Phillies
5Nick Castellanos homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Garrett Stubbs scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














