Brewers at Phillies
Last play · Nick Castellanos doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Whit Merrifield scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 1 – 0 PHI
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Phillies favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alec Bohm homers (6) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +35% Phillies
10Nick Castellanos doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Sal Frelick. Whit Merrifield scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.1–2
8Alec Bohm homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
3Andruw Monasterio grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper. Blake Perkins scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














