D-backs at Phillies
Last play · Jose Herrera flies out to left fielder Kyle Schwarber.
Win probability
Phillies100%
AZ 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 8 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -275
Phillies favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Schwarber scores. (inning 3) — +10% Phillies
8David Dahl homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Alec Bohm scores.1–12
6Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner scores. Alec Bohm to 3rd.1–10
5Nick Castellanos homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Bryce Harper scores.1–8
5Tucker Barnhart singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Christian Walker scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.1–6
4Kyle Schwarber doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Edmundo Sosa scores.0–6
3Alec Bohm homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–5
3Bryce Harper homers (18) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.0–4
1Nick Castellanos out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Randal Grichuk. Trea Turner scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














