Padres at Phillies
Last play · Nick Castellanos hits a ground-rule double (12) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
SD 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -170
Phillies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder José Azocar. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Phillies
9Nick Castellanos hits a ground-rule double (12) on a fly ball down the right-field line. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd.3–4
9Bryson Stott singles on a line drive to left fielder José Azocar. Bryce Harper scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.3–3
8Kyle Schwarber homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.3–2
6Jurickson Profar singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Tyler Wade scores.3–1
6Luis Campusano homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. David Peralta scores.2–1
4Brandon Marsh singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Nick Castellanos scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














