D-backs at Phillies
Last play · Kyle Schwarber grounds out to first baseman Christian Walker.
Win probability
Phillies0%
AZ 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 2 PHI
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -145
Phillies favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Gabriel Moreno homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Corbin Carroll scores. (inning 3) — -21% D-backs
8Nick Castellanos homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.5–4
8Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Blaze Alexander scores. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd. Geraldo Perdomo advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Nick Castellanos.5–3
7Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to second baseman Blaze Alexander. David Dahl scores. Rafael Marchán to 3rd. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.4–3
3Trea Turner homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Kyle Schwarber scores.4–2
3Joc Pederson homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.4–0
3Gabriel Moreno homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Corbin Carroll scores.3–0
2Lourdes Gurriel Jr. homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














