Padres at Phillies
Last play · David Dahl grounds out, second baseman Tyler Wade to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Phillies0%
SD 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 1 – 1 PHI
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -195
Phillies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. José Azocar scores. Manny Machado scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. (inning 8) — -22% Padres
8Bryce Harper homers (17) on a fly ball to right field.5–2
8Kyle Higashioka triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. José Azocar scores. Manny Machado scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.5–1
7Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jackson Merrill scores. Tyler Wade to 3rd.2–1
3Bryce Harper homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
2Jackson Merrill homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














