Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Josh Bell strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+185 / -225
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott grounds into a force out, second baseman Otto Lopez to shortstop Tim Anderson. Whit Merrifield scores. Garrett Stubbs out at 2nd. Bryson Stott to 1st. (inning 5) — +15% Phillies
8Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Johan Rojas scores.0–2
5Bryson Stott grounds into a force out, second baseman Otto Lopez to shortstop Tim Anderson. Whit Merrifield scores. Garrett Stubbs out at 2nd. Bryson Stott to 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














