Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Rafael Marchán lines out to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz.
Win probability
Phillies0%
MIA 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 1 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Fortes doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Otto Lopez scores. (inning 7) — -21% Marlins
7Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Nick Fortes scores.3–2
7Nick Fortes doubles (5) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Otto Lopez scores.2–2
5Alec Bohm out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Nick Gordon. Johan Rojas scores.1–2
3Garrett Stubbs homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
2Nick Gordon homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














