Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Tim Anderson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 6 – 3 PHI
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+220 / -275
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Whit Merrifield scores. David Dahl scores. Trea Turner to 2nd. Trea Turner advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. (inning 7) — +44% Phillies
7Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Whit Merrifield scores. David Dahl scores. Trea Turner to 2nd. Trea Turner advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Bryan De La Cruz.6–7
6Nick Castellanos singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Rafael Marchán scores. Bryson Stott scores. Alec Bohm to 2nd.6–5
5Nick Castellanos doubles (13) on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Brandon Marsh scores.6–3
5Emmanuel Rivera singles on a line drive to left fielder Whit Merrifield. Dane Myers scores.6–2
5Dane Myers doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Josh Bell scores.5–2
4Jazz Chisholm Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Emmanuel Rivera scores. Ali Sánchez to 3rd.4–2
4Emmanuel Rivera doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Dane Myers scores. Emmanuel Rivera to 3rd. Emmanuel Rivera advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Nick Castellanos.3–2
3Bryan De La Cruz homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














