Guardians at Phillies
Last play · Weston Wilson strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Phillies0%
CLE 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 3 – 1 PHI
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Phillies favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryson Stott homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 5) — +13% Phillies
5Bryson Stott homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
4Angel Martínez singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Brayan Rocchio scores. Bo Naylor to 2nd.3–0
4Bo Naylor hits a sacrifice bunt. Andrés Giménez scores. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd. Bo Naylor to 1st.2–0
1David Fry singles on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Angel Martínez scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














