Guardians at Phillies
Last play · Angel Martínez flies out to left fielder Austin Hays.
Win probability
Phillies100%
CLE 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 7 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Phillies favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 4) — +22% Phillies
6Nick Castellanos homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.0–8
4Kyle Schwarber homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Nick Castellanos scores. Austin Hays scores.0–7
4Brandon Marsh homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. J.T. Realmuto scores.0–4
4Bryce Harper homers (24) on a fly ball to left field. Trea Turner scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














