Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Bryson Stott grounds out, second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger.
Win probability
Phillies0%
MIA 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 0 PHI
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+170 / -205
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Burger homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -14% Marlins
9Jesús Sánchez homers (15) on a line drive to right center field.5–0
7Jesús Sánchez strikes out swinging. Xavier Edwards steals (18) 3rd base. Xavier Edwards scores. Throwing error by catcher J. T. Realmuto.4–0
3Jake Burger homers (23) on a fly ball to left center field.3–0
1Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Jesús Sánchez scores. Jonah Bride to 3rd. Otto Lopez to 2nd.2–0
1Jonah Bride singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Jake Burger scores. Jesús Sánchez to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
