Marlins at Phillies
Last play · Otto Lopez flies out to center fielder Johan Rojas.
Win probability
Phillies100%
MIA 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 5 – 6 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Phillies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Schwarber hits a grand slam (28) to left center field. J.T. Realmuto scores. Edmundo Sosa scores. Johan Rojas scores. (inning 4) — +51% Phillies
7J.T. Realmuto doubles (11) on a line drive to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Alec Bohm scores. Bryson Stott scores.5–9
7Alec Bohm singles on a ground ball to center fielder Derek Hill. Bryce Harper scores.5–7
4Kyle Schwarber hits a grand slam (28) to left center field. J.T. Realmuto scores. Edmundo Sosa scores. Johan Rojas scores.5–6
4Jonah Bride out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Johan Rojas. Jake Burger scores.5–2
4Jesús Sánchez singles on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Xavier Edwards scores. Jake Burger to 3rd.4–2
3Bryce Harper grounds into a force out, second baseman Otto Lopez to shortstop Xavier Edwards. Johan Rojas scores. Nick Castellanos out at 2nd. Bryce Harper to 1st.3–2
2Edmundo Sosa grounds into a double play, shortstop Xavier Edwards to second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Jonah Bride. Bryson Stott scores. J.T. Realmuto out at 2nd. Edmundo Sosa out at 1st.3–1
1Jonah Bride homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Burger scores. Jesús Sánchez scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
