Nationals at Phillies
Last play · Trea Turner singles on a fly ball to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Marsh scores. Cal Stevenson to 3rd. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
WSH 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 2 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-2.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -280
Phillies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Young grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner. Nasim Nuñez scores. José Tena out at 2nd. Jacob Young to 1st. (inning 9) — -38% Nationals
9Trea Turner singles on a fly ball to left fielder James Wood. Brandon Marsh scores. Cal Stevenson to 3rd. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.2–3
9Jacob Young grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Trea Turner. Nasim Nuñez scores. José Tena out at 2nd. Jacob Young to 1st.2–2
9José Tena singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Johan Rojas. Luis García Jr. scores. Nasim Nuñez to 3rd.1–2
3J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Nick Castellanos scores.0–2
3Nick Castellanos singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Trea Turner scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
