Astros at Phillies
Last play · Zach Dezenzo grounds out to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
HOU 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 4 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Phillies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper scores. (inning 3) — +22% Phillies
7Alec Bohm doubles (44) on a fly ball to left fielder Mauricio Dubón, deflected by shortstop Jeremy Peña. Austin Hays scores. Trea Turner to 3rd.0–5
3Nick Castellanos homers (18) on a fly ball to left center field. Trea Turner scores. Bryce Harper scores.0–4
3Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ben Gamel. Austin Hays scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
