Astros at Phillies
Last play · Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ben Gamel. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner to 2nd.
Win probability
Phillies100%
HOU 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 1 PHI
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+165 / -200
Phillies favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Shay Whitcomb doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers scores. (inning 4) — -26% Astros
10Bryce Harper singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ben Gamel. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner to 2nd.2–3
6Nick Castellanos singles on a line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Bryce Harper scores.2–2
5Brandon Marsh homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
4Shay Whitcomb doubles (3) on a fly ball to left fielder Austin Hays. Victor Caratini scores. Jake Meyers scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
