Braves at Phillies
Last play · Weston Wilson called out on strikes.
Win probability
Phillies0%
ATL 100%PHI 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 1 PHI
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Orlando Arcia homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -18% Braves
7J.T. Realmuto homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
7Matt Olson doubles (31) on a line drive to center fielder Johan Rojas. Marcell Ozuna scores.7–1
6Gio Urshela doubles (13) on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Sean Murphy scores.6–1
6Orlando Arcia homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.5–1
4Bryson Stott homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.4–1
4Sean Murphy grounds out, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper. Matt Olson scores. Michael Harris II to 3rd. Orlando Arcia to 2nd.4–0
4Ramón Laureano grounds out, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson to 2nd.3–0
3Sean Murphy homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
