Braves at Phillies
Last play · Orlando Arcia strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 1 PHI
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trea Turner homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 6) — +21% Phillies
7Edmundo Sosa doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jorge Soler. Weston Wilson scores. Edmundo Sosa to 3rd.0–3
6Trea Turner homers (15) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
3Edmundo Sosa homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
