Braves at Phillies
Last play · Whit Merrifield grounds out softly, third baseman Edmundo Sosa to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Phillies100%
ATL 0%PHI 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 0 PHI
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Phillies favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Castellanos homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores. (inning 7) — +44% Phillies
7Nick Castellanos homers (19) on a fly ball to center field. Trea Turner scores.4–5
6Brandon Marsh homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Castellanos scores. J.T. Realmuto scores.4–3
6Matt Olson homers (25) on a fly ball to center field.4–0
3Matt Olson homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Whit Merrifield scores.3–0
2Orlando Arcia doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Michael Harris II scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
