Cubs at Pirates
Last play · Bryan Reynolds strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CHC 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 2 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Andrew McCutchen scores. Oneil Cruz scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd. (inning 1) — +22% Pirates
7Nick Madrigal singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Ian Happ scores. Michael Busch scores. Nick Madrigal to 2nd.7–2
7Ian Happ doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Cody Bellinger scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.5–2
7Christopher Morel singles on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Mike Tauchman scores. Cody Bellinger to 2nd.4–2
6Miguel Amaya singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Michael Busch scores.3–2
5Cody Bellinger doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Nico Hoerner scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Missed catch error by catcher Yasmani Grandal, assist to right fielder Bryan Reynolds to shortstop Oneil Cruz.2–2
1Nick Gonzales singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Andrew McCutchen scores. Oneil Cruz scores. Rowdy Tellez to 2nd.1–2
1Cody Bellinger homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








