Cubs at Pirates
Last play · Cody Bellinger lines out to right fielder Jack Suwinski.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CHC 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 8 – 9 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yasmani Grandal homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Oneil Cruz scores. Nick Gonzales scores. (inning 5) — +45% Pirates
9Mike Tauchman out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Miles Mastrobuoni scores.9–10
6Andrew McCutchen homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.8–10
5Yasmani Grandal homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Oneil Cruz scores. Nick Gonzales scores.8–9
5Cody Bellinger walks. Yan Gomes scores. Mike Tauchman to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.8–6
5Seiya Suzuki walks. Miles Mastrobuoni scores. Yan Gomes to 3rd. Mike Tauchman to 2nd.7–6
5Mike Tauchman singles on a ground ball to shortstop Oneil Cruz. Michael Busch scores. Miles Mastrobuoni to 3rd. Yan Gomes to 2nd.6–6
5Yan Gomes walks. Nico Hoerner scores. Michael Busch to 3rd. Miles Mastrobuoni to 2nd.5–6
5Miles Mastrobuoni walks. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.4–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








