Giants at Pirates
Last play · Joey Bart grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Pirates0%
SF 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 1 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Pirates favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · LaMonte Wade Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Luis Matos scores. (inning 9) — -38% Giants
10Luis Matos singles on a line drive to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Jorge Soler scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd.9–5
10Brett Wisely out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Patrick Bailey scores. Jorge Soler to 3rd.8–5
10Jorge Soler singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Matt Chapman scores. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.7–5
10Patrick Bailey singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Thairo Estrada scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.6–5
9LaMonte Wade Jr. singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jack Suwinski. Luis Matos scores.5–5
8Jorge Soler grounds out softly, catcher Joey Bart to first baseman Connor Joe. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Thairo Estrada to 3rd. Matt Chapman to 2nd.4–5
6Matt Chapman homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores.3–5
5Jorge Soler singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Patrick Bailey scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
