Braves at Pirates
Last play · Zack Short flies out to center fielder Michael A. Taylor.
Win probability
Pirates100%
ATL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 7 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Andrew McCutchen scores. Connor Joe scores. (inning 1) — +17% Pirates
8Travis d'Arnaud doubles (11) on a fly ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Marcell Ozuna scores. Matt Olson scores.5–11
8Ronald Acuña Jr. homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Michael Harris II scores. Zack Short scores.3–11
7Michael A. Taylor out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Alika Williams scores.0–11
6Nick Gonzales doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Connor Joe scores. Edward Olivares scores.0–10
6Edward Olivares singles on a fly ball to left fielder Adam Duvall. Andrew McCutchen scores. Connor Joe to 3rd. Edward Olivares to 2nd.0–8
5Jared Triolo homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Gonzales scores.0–7
3Yasmani Grandal doubles (3) on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Edward Olivares scores. Oneil Cruz scores.0–5
3Edward Olivares singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Connor Joe scores.0–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
