Braves at Pirates
Last play · Yasmani Grandal flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
Win probability
Pirates0%
ATL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 4 – 1 PIT
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.6% · hold 5.6%
Run line
+2.5
Moneyline
reference-240 / +200
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Olson doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Jarred Kelenic scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 5) — -20% Braves
9Travis d'Arnaud out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Ozzie Albies scores.8–1
9Ozzie Albies singles on a ground ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Jarred Kelenic scores.7–1
8Adam Duvall homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.6–1
8Matt Olson homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.5–1
5Matt Olson doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Jarred Kelenic scores. Ozzie Albies scores.4–1
4Orlando Arcia out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Travis d'Arnaud scores.2–1
3Ozzie Albies doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Edward Olivares. Jarred Kelenic scores. Ozzie Albies out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Edward Olivares to second baseman Nick Gonzales to catcher Yasmani Grandal to third baseman Jared Triolo.1–1
2Yasmani Grandal singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Edward Olivares scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
