Braves at Pirates
Last play · Ronald Acuña Jr. grounds into a force out, shortstop Oneil Cruz to second baseman Nick Gonzales. Adam Duvall out at 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates100%
ATL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-155 / +135
Pirates favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Oneil Cruz scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Nick Gonzales advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. (inning 4) — +13% Pirates
7Bryan Reynolds singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Ji Hwan Bae scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.1–4
4Edward Olivares out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jarred Kelenic. Nick Gonzales scores.1–3
4Nick Gonzales doubles (3) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr. Oneil Cruz scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Nick Gonzales advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr.1–2
4Jarred Kelenic singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Edward Olivares. Matt Olson scores. Michael Harris II to 2nd.1–1
3Ji Hwan Bae singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael Harris II. Jared Triolo scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
