Twins at Pirates
Last play · Jared Triolo flies out to right fielder Max Kepler.
Win probability
Pirates0%
MIN 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 4 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Pirates favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Joe triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 5) — +30% Pirates
10Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Connor Joe scores.11–5
10Max Kepler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Carlos Correa scores.11–4
10Carlos Correa singles on a line drive to right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Willi Castro scores. Carlos Santana scores. Carlos Correa to 2nd.10–4
10Carlos Santana doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Byron Buxton scores. Ryan Jeffers scores. Willi Castro to 3rd.8–4
10Willi Castro hit by pitch. Manuel Margot scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Ryan Jeffers to 2nd.6–4
10Manuel Margot triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Kyle Farmer scores.5–4
6Royce Lewis out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Connor Joe. Ryan Jeffers scores.4–4
5Connor Joe triples (1) on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores.3–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














