Reds at Pirates
Last play · Nick Martini called out on strikes.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CIN 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 4 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.4% · hold 5.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+160 / -190
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 1) — +22% Pirates
2Bryan Reynolds doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Will Benson. Andrew McCutchen scores.1–4
1Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out softly, third baseman Jeimer Candelario to first baseman Spencer Steer. Oneil Cruz scores. Rowdy Tellez to 3rd.1–3
1Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Will Benson, deflected by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–2
1Spencer Steer doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jack Suwinski. Jeimer Candelario scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














