Reds at Pirates
Last play · Jake Fraley flies out to center fielder Jack Suwinski.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CIN 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 0 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — +29% Pirates
8Bryan Reynolds homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














