Reds at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes grounds out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CIN 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 0 PIT
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Santiago Espinal homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan India scores. (inning 5) — -27% Reds
7Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.2–1
5Santiago Espinal homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan India scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














