Rays at Pirates
Last play · Jared Triolo strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
TB 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Pirates favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. José Caballero scores. (inning 8) — -26% Rays
8Richie Palacios singles on a line drive to left fielder Jack Suwinski. Josh Lowe scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.3–1
8Randy Arozarena out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. José Caballero scores.2–1
4Bryan Reynolds homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Yandy Díaz homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














