Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Andrew McCutchen grounds into a force out, shortstop Masyn Winn to second baseman Nolan Gorman. Joey Bart out at 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates0%
STL 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pedro Pagés doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Michael Siani scores. (inning 10) — -26% Cardinals
10Nick Gonzales out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Michael A. Taylor scores.3–2
10Alec Burleson singles on a fly ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Pedro Pagés scores.3–1
10Pedro Pagés doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Michael Siani scores.2–1
4Bryan Reynolds homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Dylan Carlson doubles (5) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Brendan Donovan scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














