Phillies at Pirates
Last play · Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Andrew McCutchen scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.
Win probability
Pirates100%
PHI 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 7 – 4 PIT
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-175 / +145
Pirates favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Michael A. Taylor scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Pirates
9Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh. Andrew McCutchen scores. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.7–8
9Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Michael A. Taylor scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.7–7
7Phillies challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Rowdy Tellez flies into a sacrifice double play, left fielder Weston Wilson to second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz out at 2nd.7–6
7Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to second baseman Edmundo Sosa. Andrew McCutchen scores. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.7–5
5Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Joshua Palacios. Edmundo Sosa scores. Weston Wilson to 3rd. Garrett Stubbs to 2nd.7–4
4Trea Turner homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Cristian Pache scores.6–4
3Rowdy Tellez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Oneil Cruz scores.4–4
3Weston Wilson homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














