Mets at Pirates
Last play · Jose Iglesias lines out sharply to center fielder Michael A. Taylor.
Win probability
Pirates100%
NYM 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 4 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Pirates favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan Reynolds homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Joshua Palacios scores. (inning 5) — +25% Pirates
8Rowdy Tellez hits a grand slam (7) to center field. Joshua Palacios scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz scores.2–14
8Michael A. Taylor homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.2–10
8Yasmani Grandal homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–9
7Bryan Reynolds hits a grand slam (16) to center field. Yasmani Grandal scores. Michael A. Taylor scores. Joshua Palacios scores.2–8
5Bryan Reynolds homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Joshua Palacios scores.2–4
4Jack Suwinski homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
4Rowdy Tellez homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.2–1
4Jose Iglesias grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Oneil Cruz. Pete Alonso scores. Francisco Alvarez out at 2nd. Jose Iglesias to 1st.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














