Phillies at Pirates
Last play · J.T. Realmuto grounds out sharply, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Connor Joe.
Win probability
Pirates100%
PHI 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 0 – 0 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Pirates favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrew McCutchen homers (13) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 6) — +26% Pirates
9Bryce Harper homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field.1–4
8Oneil Cruz homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. Bryan Reynolds scores.0–4
6Oneil Cruz doubles (20) on a line drive to right fielder Nick Castellanos. Nick Gonzales scores.0–2
6Andrew McCutchen homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














