Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Nolan Gorman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 1 PIT
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alec Burleson. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 8) — +29% Pirates
8Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alec Burleson. Bryan Reynolds scores.1–2
5Nolan Gorman homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Brendan Donovan. Andrew McCutchen scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














