Cardinals at Pirates
Last play · Alec Burleson grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Rowdy Tellez.
Win probability
Pirates100%
STL 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 5 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Pirates favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Joe doubles (18) on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Rowdy Tellez scores. Michael A. Taylor scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd. (inning 2) — +12% Pirates
4Rowdy Tellez homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.0–5
2Connor Joe doubles (18) on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Carlson. Rowdy Tellez scores. Michael A. Taylor scores. Andrew McCutchen to 3rd.0–4
2Andrew McCutchen walks. Joshua Palacios scores. Rowdy Tellez to 3rd. Michael A. Taylor to 2nd.0–2
2Rowdy Tellez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Alec Burleson. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Joshua Palacios to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














